How November Brings Sharper Spirals in NBA and College Hoops Betting

08 November 2026

Monday's NBA and college basketball slate draws sharp bettor attention to key November trends, volume spikes, and significant line movement. The NBA's month-to-date betting trends show aggressive line moves on the board, while college basketball wagers reached record levels.

NBA Trends to Watch

The NBA's 2023-24 season month-to-date betting trends reveal value opportunities in back-to-back situations, rest-deprived lineups, and teams' November performance histories.

VSiN reported that NBA teams winning their previous game but failing to cover the spread have gone 69-74 straight up and 53-88-2 against the spread in their no-rest follow-up game since the 2022-23 season began. Regarding back-to-backs, teams playing consecutive road games have gone 8-19 straight up and 9-18 against the spread when facing teams on their fourth straight home game over the past four seasons.

For team-specific November trends, RotoWire identified the Boston Celtics as the top November performer at 93-41 (69.4%) since the 2016-17 season, while the Chicago Bulls (45-90, 33.3%) have struggled during the month over that span. Other notable teams include the Oklahoma City Thunder, 34-10 in November over the last three years, and the Houston Rockets, the best November against-the-spread team at 80-44-2 (64.5%) since 2016-17.

Sharps and Publics Go Opposites on Top Monday Slate

On the NBA slate, public money favors road teams today, with the 76ers drawing 78% of the handle at the Bulls, where casual bettors appear to be chasing losses. Meanwhile, professional bettors have been active on NBA Steam, with odds moving from -132 to -185 on the Lakers' runline against the Pistons.

The NBA spotlight falls on the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight in a back-to-back betting situation. Back-to-back scenarios attract sharp action, particularly when featuring extended road trips against out-of-conference opponents.

In college basketball, the most popular wager is 76ers moneyline in the 76ers at Bulls matchup, with 89% of tickets and 92% of money, per a market report. The biggest line move comes in Wake Forest at SMU, with the total shifting from 58.5 to 61.5 toward the Over.

College Hoops Market Explodes to $224.1M Volume

This Monday's college basketball slate shows intensified betting signals with heavy public action and sharp line movement preceding market adjustments.

Weekly betting volume for college basketball jumped 286% to $224.1 million, while the NFL led all leagues at $4.1 billion, according to Monday's figures from industry analysts.

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The report highlighted Philadelphia at Cleveland, Oklahoma City at Memphis, and New York at Cleveland as weekend's most active games. The Cavaliers' home games against Philadelphia and Memphis drew particular market attention.

College Hoops Filters for Favorites and Home Teams

Current college basketball betting trends show: Home teams are 370-50 (88.1%) straight up, favorites are 235-52 (81.9%) straight up, and home favorites are 220-34 (86.6%) straight up, per Monday's Covers data.

The numbers also reveal road teams are 50-370 (11.9%) straight up, and road underdogs are 34-220 (13.4%) straight up, demonstrating significant home-court advantage and bettor preference for favorites.

Covers: Road Teams Go 0-3 in Early December College Hoops

Home teams have dominated visitors in college basketball wagering this month, going 37-0 against non-conference road opponents in December, according to Covers.

The 2023-24 NCAA men's basketball season is just three weeks old, but non-conference teams already show dominance at home. Road teams stand 0-3 against home teams in non-conference play this season.

This pattern isn't new, as home teams have controlled college basketball betting for years. However, this season's dominance stands out, with road teams failing to cover in all three December non-conference matchups.

Covers' data also indicates home favorites are 25-3 (89.3%) straight up, with heavy public action on the Lakers' runline and Duke and Connecticut in NCAA markets.