Saturday was a very interesting day of college football to say the least. Rivalry week featured the top two teams in the nation loosing, which opened up a whole other world of scenarios for us, and the committee to think about. With No. 1 Alabama and No. 2 Miami going down, it’s probably safe to assume that Clemson will move up to No. 1, and Oklahoma to No. 2. After that though, things get somewhat murky.
The biggest question coming out of this week is how far Alabama will fall after their loss to Auburn. It remains to be seen whether that loss will cost them a playoff spot, but with championship Saturday coming up, a handful of contenders will have a chance to boost their playoff resumes, and the Tide won’t be one of them. Do you put them in over an undefeated Wisconsin? I don’t think you can. And I don’t think the committee will either.
What about over a one-loss Oklahoma team? While it is true that Alabama’s one loss is to Auburn, who is far superior to the Iowa state team that beat Oklahoma, Oklahoma actually has the far better resume having won on the road at Ohio State and beating other ranked foes in Oklahoma State and TCU (Potentially twice).
And what if, say, Ohio State beats undefeated Wisconsin in the Big Ten Title Game? Would the Buckeyes get the nod despite two bad losses? And what about Georgia? Surely a win over Auburn in the SEC title game would earn the Bulldogs a spot in the playoff. And what if Miami beats Clemson? Will that be enough for the Committee to overlook a loss to a Pitt team with a losing record?
There are a great many scenarios that could unfold between now and selection Sunday. This isn’t like years past, where most of the contenders went into their conference championship games as clear favorites. Anything can happen. Which is great news for us as fans, but not so much for the committee, who may have a more difficult time deciding the top four teams than they have in the playoff’s brief history.
When it comes to the College Football Playoff, there are four important trends to take into consideration. The committee has never:
- Selected a two-loss team.
- Selected two teams from the same conference.
- Not selected Alabama.
- Left an undefeated power five team out of the playoff.
Right now, it seems like at least two, or maybe even three of these things may happen this season. No one really knows how this Saturday is going to play out. I certainly don’t know. But one thing I do know is, if I were on the playoff committee, I wouldn’t be getting much sleepSaturday night. Because no matter what happens on Saturday, choosing the top four teams is going to be monumentally difficult. But that’s what makes this so much fun. This is why we love college football. Because the excitement, the uncertainty, and the chaos, are all just part of the game.